L’École des cotesCasa Pia v Rio Ave FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Casa Pia (Local)
Prévision 54.90%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.97%54.84%55.04%57.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.23%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rio Ave FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV +4.88%
Avantage +0.990%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.061%
avec la cote maximale 4.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.37%21.35%21.20%22.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.344.404.9325.64%23.07%22.73%20.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.83%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -0.747%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.40%23.80%23.76%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.853.854.1030.77%25.97%25.97%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.83%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.37%EV +4.88%E +0.990%K +1.24%G +0.061% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 09:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.02%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.96%EV -1.71%E -0.371%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.03%EV -3.98%E -0.988%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-12 01:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -2.14%E -0.465%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 22:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -11.06%E -6.83%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -3.20%E -0.704%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -3.92%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-11 22:10 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-11 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -9.41%E -5.71%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.27%E -0.948%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 22:48 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.33%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 00:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.39%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.85%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -11.06%E -6.83%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.88%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-11 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.40%EV -13.81%E -8.79%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -8.52%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.00%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.35%EV -10.22%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.12%EV -2.79%E -0.684%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 07:52 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.41%E -5.71%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 08:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -11.06%E -6.83%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -10.65%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -22.57%E -6.94%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-11 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 07:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.01%EV -13.26%E -8.39%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.90%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.46%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 05:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.22%EV -15.45%E -10.03%K -28.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.80%EV -17.03%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.98%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-11 22:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 37.06% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 42.86% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 20.08% | 74.1% | 2026-05-12 07:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-05-12 07:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-05-12 07:44 |