Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Braga v Vitória SC

Início: 2026-08-31 19:15 UTC

Final: Braga 1–0 Vitória SC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Braga (Local)

Previsão 51.60%1.94odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -3.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.44%51.57%51.61%52.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.68%55.56%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vitória SC (Visitante)

Previsão 20.69%4.83odd justa
EV +0.341%
Vantagem +0.070%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.79%20.67%20.75%21.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.434.404.8523.81%22.56%22.73%20.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.71%3.61odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -0.861%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.65%27.75%27.64%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.363.353.5031.25%29.79%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Braga (Local): 51.60%; Vitória SC (Visitante): 20.69%; Empate: 27.71%. Para Vitória SC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.83. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.341%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.79%EV +0.341%E +0.070%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.79%EV +0.341%E +0.070%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.38%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV -0.693%E -0.144%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.49%EV -6.06%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 19:10
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.76%E -0.588%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -8.67%E -4.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.76%E -0.588%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:55
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.92%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.01%EV -3.38%E -0.724%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -7.73%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 19:05
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.86%EV -5.05%E -2.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 19:09
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -3.51%E -1.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 18:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -4.54%E -2.45%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -5.05%E -2.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.09%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.07%EV -8.00%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -6.09%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 19:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 19:05
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.52%EV -10.73%E -6.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -7.73%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 19:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.09%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 18:55
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:25
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:24
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:25
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.45%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -6.09%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -6.09%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -12.28%E -7.22%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.97%E -2.04%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 19:05
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 19:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.02%E -0.861%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 19:00
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 19:09
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -10.42%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.90%EV -9.18%E -5.22%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.04%E -2.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.70%EV -9.70%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.12%E -3.95%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 18:55
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -10.21%E -5.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -10.21%E -5.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -10.21%E -5.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.73%E -6.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.73%E -6.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.86%EV -10.73%E -6.20%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -10.21%E -5.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -13.11%E -3.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.46%0.4%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.46%0.4%2026-08-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-08-31 19:10
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-08-31 19:00
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-08-31 19:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-08-31 19:05