赔率学院

Braga v Estoril

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Braga 1–1 Estoril

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Braga (主队)

预测 59.82%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.09%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -4.98%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
55.87%59.86%59.86%61.40%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.501.561.571.6266.67%64.16%63.69%61.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

Estoril (客队)

预测 17.59%5.69公平赔率
EV +1.12%
优势 +0.196%
Kelly +0.237%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.37%17.55%17.58%18.99%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.505.255.255.7522.22%19.06%19.05%17.39%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.59%4.43公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.452%
Kelly -0.588%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.34

博彩公司预测分布
21.41%22.59%22.56%25.14%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.404.084.054.3429.41%24.51%24.69%23.04%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.237%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 16:20
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.68%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.76%EV +0.597%E +0.104%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.245%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:35
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:10
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:49
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:45
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.87%EV -4.68%E -0.863%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.32%EV -1.96%E -0.452%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:50
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.28%EV -3.68%E -2.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -6.48%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:45
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:50
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.19%E -0.505%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:56
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 16:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:56
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:50
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.11%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:50
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.11%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 16:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:56
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.17%EV -8.51%E -2.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 16:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -13.82%E -2.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -20.86%E -4.64%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -23.20%E -6.82%K -9.67%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-03 16:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-05-03 16:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-03 16:55