مدرسة الاحتمالات

Braga v Estoril

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Braga 1–1 Estoril

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Braga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.82%1.67السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -1.90%
Kelly -4.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.87%59.86%59.86%61.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.571.6266.67%64.16%63.69%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Estoril (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.59%5.69السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.196%
Kelly +0.237%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.37%17.55%17.58%18.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.255.255.7522.22%19.06%19.05%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.59%4.43السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -0.452%
Kelly -0.588%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.41%22.59%22.56%25.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.084.054.3429.41%24.51%24.69%23.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV +1.12%E +0.196%K +0.237%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 16:20
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.68%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.76%EV +0.597%E +0.104%K +0.127%G +0.001%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.245%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:35
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:10
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:49
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 16:45
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.00%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.09%E -1.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.87%EV -4.68%E -0.863%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.32%EV -1.96%E -0.452%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:50
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.28%EV -3.68%E -2.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.67%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -6.48%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:45
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -4.88%E -3.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:50
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.19%E -0.505%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:56
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:50
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 16:55
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:56
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.17%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -5.48%E -3.47%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -6.25%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 15:50
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.11%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:50
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.11%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -10.77%E -2.73%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.90%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 16:50
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.12%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:56
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.17%EV -8.51%E -2.10%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 16:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.64%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -13.82%E -2.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -7.38%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -20.86%E -4.64%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -23.20%E -6.82%K -9.67%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-03 16:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-05-03 16:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-05-03 16:55