مدرسة الاحتمالات

Benfica v FC Porto

البداية: 2026-03-08 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Benfica (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.97%2.08السعر العادل
EV -2.14%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -2.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.63%47.93%47.95%49.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.871.961.952.0453.48%51.05%51.28%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Porto (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.45%4.45السعر العادل
EV -0.534%
الأفضلية -0.121%
Kelly -0.156%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.54%22.56%22.51%24.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.054.004.4327.03%24.66%25.00%22.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.58%3.38السعر العادل
EV -0.915%
الأفضلية -0.273%
Kelly -0.389%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.31%29.52%29.55%31.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.163.173.3535.71%31.67%31.50%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.52%EV -2.14%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -5.03%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.56%EV -2.99%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 17:54
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.85%EV -2.14%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -2.39%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:15
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.85%EV -2.14%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -2.39%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:15
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.81%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 17:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 17:39
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:15
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:15
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -4.06%E -2.03%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 17:55
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.51%EV -4.54%E -2.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.79%EV -0.534%E -0.121%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -3.45%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.94%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -0.915%E -0.273%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:35
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 17:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 17:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.31%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 17:55
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.02%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 17:40
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -5.50%E -2.79%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 17:55
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -5.50%E -2.79%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:15
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.01%EV -5.50%E -2.79%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -13.56%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 17:54
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -5.98%E -3.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:55
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -5.98%E -3.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -5.98%E -3.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:14
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -5.98%E -3.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -5.98%E -3.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 17:15
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.90%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -1.21%E -0.275%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -4.17%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.90%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -1.21%E -0.275%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -4.17%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 17:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.48%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -3.45%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:54
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.45%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 17:04
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.68%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 17:15
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 17:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.46%E -3.31%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 17:40
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.38%EV -6.94%E -3.58%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -3.45%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -6.94%E -3.58%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 17:35
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -6.94%E -3.58%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%EV -7.90%E -4.11%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 17:35
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -7.90%E -4.11%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -16.92%E -4.57%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 17:54
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -2.78%E -0.642%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -5.35%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 17:50
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.78%E -0.642%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.83%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 17:44
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 17:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.70%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 17:34
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.19%E -2.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 17:48
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.63%EV -8.38%E -4.39%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -15.80%E -4.21%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.13%EV -17.18%E -6.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-08 17:35
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -8.86%E -4.66%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -9.82%E -5.22%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 17:53
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -10.30%E -5.51%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.45%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.39%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.81%0.1%2026-03-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-03-08 17:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.5%2026-03-08 17:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-03-08 17:45