Language:English
AVS Futebol SAD v Vitória SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AVS Futebol SAD (Local)
Prediction 16.75%5.97fair odd
EV +0.474%
Edge +0.079%
Kelly +0.095%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.60%16.78%16.77%18.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.415.506.0020.00%18.47%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vitória SC (Visit)
Prediction 59.28%1.69fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.95%59.33%59.42%61.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.31%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%23.89%23.82%25.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.804.1029.41%26.06%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AVS Futebol SAD (Local): 16.75%; Vitória SC (Visit): 59.28%; Draw: 23.97%. For AVS Futebol SAD (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.474%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +0.474%E +0.079%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -9.89%E -6.51%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -1.71%E -0.418%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.23%EV -0.364%E -0.061%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.79%EV -2.67%E -0.658%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -1.20%E -0.204%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.71%E -5.65%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.71%E -0.646%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -3.96%E -2.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 07:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -3.71%E -0.646%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -3.71%E -0.646%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.74%E -3.61%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 08:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.71%E -0.646%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.53%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -4.55%E -0.798%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%EV -2.91%E -0.719%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -6.22%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.93%EV -7.23%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.81%EV -9.39%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 07:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 07:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.33%E -4.01%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.90%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 07:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV -9.57%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.47%EV -9.89%E -6.51%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -11.25%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.37%E -2.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -11.25%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -3.37%E -2.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -12.09%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.96%E -2.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -12.09%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.96%E -2.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -12.09%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.96%E -2.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -12.09%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -3.96%E -2.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -12.09%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -12.09%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -12.92%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -12.92%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -12.92%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -12.92%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.66%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -12.92%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.66%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -12.92%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -8.71%E -5.65%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.60%E -2.86%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -8.71%E -5.65%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -14.60%E -2.86%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -6.93%E -4.41%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -14.60%E -2.86%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -7.52%E -4.82%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -14.60%E -2.86%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.89%EV -7.52%E -4.82%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -5.15%E -3.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.11%E -5.23%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -8.91%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 06:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -16.27%E -3.25%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -9.30%E -6.08%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -18.49%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.45% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.72% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 14:25 |