Language:English
AVS Futebol SAD v FC Porto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AVS Futebol SAD (Local)
Prediction 10.87%9.20fair odd
EV +25.01%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.596%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.06%10.73%10.85%12.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.099.0011.5013.79%11.00%11.11%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Porto (Visit)
Prediction 71.38%1.40fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -10.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.98%71.54%71.24%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.301.3580.65%77.27%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.75%5.63fair odd
EV +6.49%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.46%17.73%17.91%19.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.215.256.0022.22%19.20%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AVS Futebol SAD (Local): 10.87%; FC Porto (Visit): 71.38%; Draw: 17.75%. For AVS Futebol SAD (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.20. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +25.01%E +2.17%K +2.38%G +0.596% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.00%EV -11.49%E -9.26%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.38%E -0.433%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +25.01%E +2.17%K +2.38%G +0.596% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.00%EV -11.49%E -9.26%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -2.38%E -0.433%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV +25.01%E +2.17%K +2.38%G +0.596% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.77%EV -11.49%E -9.26%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.770%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +14.14%E +1.35%K +1.49%G +0.210% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.69%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -9.48%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +14.14%E +1.35%K +1.49%G +0.210% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.69%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%EV -9.48%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.28%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -9.35%E -7.36%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -2.38%E -0.433%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -8.63%E -6.74%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -8.63%E -6.74%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -10.77%E -8.62%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -2.38%E -0.433%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -10.77%E -8.62%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -2.38%E -0.433%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -9.35%E -7.36%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -9.35%E -7.36%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.30%EV -10.06%E -7.98%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.03%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.30%EV -10.06%E -7.98%K -38.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.03%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV +8.70%E +0.870%K +0.967%G +0.084% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.34%EV -11.49%E -9.26%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -14.81%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +3.27%E +0.344%K +0.384%G +0.013% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -7.20%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +3.27%E +0.344%K +0.384%G +0.013% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -8.63%E -6.74%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.09%E +0.117%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -12.14%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.08%EV +1.09%E +0.117%K +0.132%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -12.14%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV +0.549%E +0.059%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.18I 10.89%NM 10.43%EV -0.212%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.51%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.06%EV -0.430%E -0.077%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -2.17%E -0.241%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV +2.06%E +0.357%K +0.433%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -2.17%E -0.241%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.16%EV -8.63%E -6.74%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV +1.17%E +0.205%K +0.248%G +0.003% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -2.17%E -0.241%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.20%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -2.17%E -0.241%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -10.77%E -8.62%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +6.49%E +1.08%K +1.30%G +0.084% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -2.17%E -0.241%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.20%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -2.17%E -0.241%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -4.34%E -0.493%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.29%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.27%E -0.600%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.67I 11.53%NM 10.97%EV -5.76%E -0.664%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.54%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.49%EV -3.45%E -0.634%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -7.60%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -7.60%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -7.60%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.60%EV -6.49%E -4.95%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -4.16%E -0.770%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 16:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -7.60%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -10.77%E -8.62%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -20.13%E -4.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.38%E -0.433%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.48%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.20%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.82%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.20%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.26%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -13.04%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.03%EV -9.35%E -7.36%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -9.48%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.93%EV -15.21%E -1.95%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.51%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -5.93%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -15.76%E -2.03%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.98%EV -3.64%E -2.69%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -13.03%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -18.47%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -7.20%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -4.16%E -0.770%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -21.19%E -2.92%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.29%EV -8.63%E -6.74%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -7.71%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.28% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.32% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.58% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 16:59 |