Oddsskolan

Arouca v Tondela

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Arouca (Hemma)

Prognos 33.36%3.00rättvist odds
EV -3.25%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.98%33.37%33.45%34.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.21%36.36%34.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Tondela (Borta)

Prognos 41.28%2.42rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -0.915%
Kelly -1.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.24%41.27%41.21%42.78%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.152.272.272.3746.51%44.06%44.05%42.19%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.36%3.94rättvist odds
EV -0.853%
Fördel -0.218%
Kelly -0.293%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.25%25.36%25.34%28.78%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.643.603.9133.33%27.51%27.78%25.58%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -9.19%E -4.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.64%E -0.958%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 00:14
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.19%E -4.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 00:10
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.67%EV -3.91%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.27%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.06%EV -1.87%E -0.482%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 00:39
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 07:44
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.52%EV -6.30%E -2.77%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.41%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 05:34
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.62%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -7.12%E -3.17%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.25%EV -0.853%E -0.218%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 07:52
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -8.36%E -3.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:44
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -5.91%E -2.10%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.89%EV -8.36%E -3.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 07:43
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.54%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 09:04
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:44
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:44
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:45
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 07:44
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.50%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 07:43
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.12%E -3.17%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 08:24
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.70%EV -7.58%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.25%E -5.23%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-12 09:04
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 21:34
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.65%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -8.36%E -3.77%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 21:34
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.12%E -3.17%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 07:44
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.09%EV -6.71%E -2.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 09:09
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.09%EV -6.71%E -2.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 09:09
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.84%EV -2.17%E -0.915%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -2.17%E -0.915%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 20:54
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 20:54
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 20:55
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:39
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:39
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:34
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 21:34
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.19%E -4.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 07:43
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.19%E -4.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-11 23:04
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.19%E -4.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 07:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -9.19%E -4.18%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -23.93%E -7.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-12 07:43
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.57%EV -11.59%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.37%EV -11.25%E -5.23%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-11 21:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 28.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 43.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.12%115.6%2026-05-12 08:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 28.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 43.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.12%115.6%2026-05-12 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 28.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 43.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.12%115.6%2026-05-12 08:54
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 36.56%1.05I 95.24%NM 38.30%1.60I 62.50%NM 25.14%148.6%2026-05-12 08:54