Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alverca v Santa Clara

Início: 2026-08-29 14:31 UTC

Final: Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alverca (Local)

Previsão 40.11%2.49odd justa
EV +0.287%
Vantagem +0.115%
Kelly +0.191%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.44%39.92%40.23%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.46%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Santa Clara (Visitante)

Previsão 29.61%3.38odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.333%
Kelly -0.476%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.44%29.77%29.52%31.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.063.103.3435.71%32.70%32.26%29.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.28%3.30odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.09%30.31%30.25%31.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.033.053.1734.48%33.02%32.79%31.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alverca (Local): 40.11%; Santa Clara (Visitante): 29.61%; Empate: 30.28%. Para Alverca (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.49. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.287%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV +0.287%E +0.115%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -12.66%E -4.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:14
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV +0.287%E +0.115%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -12.66%E -4.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV +0.287%E +0.115%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -12.66%E -4.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV +0.287%E +0.115%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -12.66%E -4.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV +0.287%E +0.115%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -12.66%E -4.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:15
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV +0.287%E +0.115%K +0.191%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -12.66%E -4.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 14:19
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.82%EV -2.52%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.24%EV -8.56%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:15
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:14
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.72%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -15.62%E -5.48%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -10.68%E -3.62%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.49%EV -4.13%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.11%E -0.333%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -4.02%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 14:20
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -17.10%E -6.11%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -17.10%E -6.11%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -17.10%E -6.11%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 14:15
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.93%E -2.08%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.93%E -2.08%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.78%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:19
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:20
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 14:19
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 14:24
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 14:15
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -6.93%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -7.33%E -3.18%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.85%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.74%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.30%E -0.696%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.30%E -0.696%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 14:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 14:19
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.26%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.74%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.19%E -4.20%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.18%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -10.54%E -4.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.49%EV -8.81%E -2.86%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.52%EV -10.95%E -4.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.22%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.14%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -9.70%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -14.14%E -4.88%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -7.65%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-29 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-29 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-29 14:20
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.6%2026-08-29 14:25
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-08-29 14:25
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-08-29 14:25