La scuola delle quote

Alverca v Arouca

Inizio: 2026-04-24 19:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alverca (Casa)

Previsione 40.97%2.44quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.56%41.00%40.92%42.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.282.3547.62%43.99%43.86%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arouca (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.05%3.33quota equa
EV -0.239%
Vantaggio -0.072%
Kelly -0.103%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.02%30.11%30.00%31.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.003.3235.71%32.77%33.33%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.98%3.45quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.430%
Kelly -0.610%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.84%28.90%29.08%30.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.02%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.32%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.34%EV -0.540%E -0.163%K -0.234%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.34%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 21:44
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.28%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.52%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.02%EV -0.239%E -0.072%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -5.23%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:25
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 19:19
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:31
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:31
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -4.95%E -2.13%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.46%E -0.430%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:34
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 19:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:29
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 11:20
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 10:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 00:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:31
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.70%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.00%EV -4.75%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -2.62%E -0.780%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:10
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:10
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:10
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:09
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.59%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%EV -7.00%E -3.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:23
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%EV -7.00%E -3.08%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:10
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -7.41%E -3.28%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.45%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -7.84%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.92%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.75%EV -4.75%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.32%EV -3.49%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:35
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 03:08
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 21:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.81%E -1.79%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 11:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 08:34
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 08:34
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 08:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 08:34
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.85%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 09:05
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.86%E -4.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.82%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.86%E -4.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.29%EV -8.64%E -3.87%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.87%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.36%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:25
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.87%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:25
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.87%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -9.87%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -13.46%E -4.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -16.53%E -5.74%K -8.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 10:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.86%E -4.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -7.26%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -15.86%E -5.67%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -11.61%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 11:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%1.3%2026-04-24 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%1.3%2026-04-24 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%1.3%2026-04-24 00:30
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%1.3%2026-04-23 23:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-04-24 02:10
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%3.0%2026-04-24 02:10