The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Académico de Viseu v Rio Ave FC

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:02 UTC

Final: Académico de Viseu 2–1 Rio Ave FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Académico de Viseu (Local)

Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.63%50.58%50.49%51.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.831.9159.88%55.05%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rio Ave FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.95%4.36fair odd
EV +0.732%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.216%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.66%22.94%22.95%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.354.034.004.3929.85%24.80%25.00%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.34%26.48%26.56%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.7032.26%28.47%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Académico de Viseu (Local): 50.53%; Rio Ave FC (Visit): 22.95%; Draw: 26.52%. For Rio Ave FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.732%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -3.48%E -1.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.08%EV +0.732%E +0.167%K +0.216%G +0.002%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%EV -5.32%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.33%E -0.310%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:25
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.39%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.48%E -0.584%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 17:59
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -2.48%E -0.584%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:25
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -2.48%E -0.584%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -7.02%E -3.81%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.20%E -0.877%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.63%E -0.864%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -4.77%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:25
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.16%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.97%EV -5.46%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.86%EV -2.94%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.48%E -1.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.92%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -3.48%E -1.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.92%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.92%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 17:40
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.03%E -4.41%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -5.92%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.72%EV -8.03%E -4.41%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -5.92%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -5.92%E -1.44%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.00%E -2.66%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -1.88%E -0.507%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -1.88%E -0.507%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -1.88%E -0.507%K -0.695%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:24
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 18:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 17:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -11.06%E -6.28%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -11.57%E -6.61%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -11.57%E -6.61%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 17:20
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -12.07%E -6.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -12.07%E -6.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -12.07%E -6.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -12.07%E -6.94%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -8.22%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -13.08%E -7.61%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -9.36%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.51%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -6.01%E -3.23%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -10.51%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.85%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.51%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.83%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.58%EV -11.57%E -6.61%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -11.66%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 17:59
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.95%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -15.61%E -9.35%K -23.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -13.95%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -12.48%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.10%E -4.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -10.05%E -5.65%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -19.69%E -5.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -13.81%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.64%EV -14.09%E -8.29%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.68%EV -23.13%E -6.90%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.67%EV -17.79%E -5.74%K -8.47%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-01 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-11-01 17:40
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-11-01 18:00

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