Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Académico de Viseu v Rio Ave FC

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Académico de Viseu (Local)

Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.33%45.50%45.48%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.032.042.1054.05%49.21%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rio Ave FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%26.94%26.93%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.453.5532.26%29.53%28.99%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.59%3.63fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.56%27.59%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.11%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Académico de Viseu (Local): 45.49%; Rio Ave FC (Visit): 26.92%; Draw: 27.59%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -3.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 19:06
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:07
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -4.46%E -2.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -7.59%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 19:00
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.43%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -7.19%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 18:08
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.33%EV -7.19%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 18:08
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.33%EV -7.19%E -3.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 18:08
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -7.65%E -3.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 19:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 18:08
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 18:08
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 18:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.16%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.73%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 18:08
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 19:06
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.45%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 19:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.97%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -10.38%E -5.27%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -10.83%E -5.53%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -15.20%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.35%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-25 18:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.03%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -9.80%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 18:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.87%EV -12.65%E -6.59%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -16.54%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-25 18:08
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79%EV -15.84%E -8.56%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -15.20%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -14.49%E -4.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-25 18:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 44.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.73%11.0%2026-10-25 19:10
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%13.5%2026-10-25 18:08