Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Académico de Viseu v FC Porto

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 17:03 UTC

Final: Académico de Viseu 0–3 FC Porto

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Académico de Viseu (Local)

Prediction 10.09%9.91fair odd
EV +10.99%
Edge +0.999%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.48%10.02%10.17%11.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.479.5011.0012.90%10.56%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Porto (Visit)

Prediction 71.44%1.40fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -12.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.14%71.36%71.35%73.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3480.65%77.39%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.47%5.41fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.063%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%18.62%18.48%21.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.005.005.4023.26%19.98%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Académico de Viseu (Local): 10.09%; FC Porto (Visit): 71.44%; Draw: 18.47%. For Académico de Viseu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.91. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +10.99%E +0.999%K +1.10%G +0.121%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.05%E -0.580%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 16:25
Paddy Power🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.53%EV +10.99%E +0.999%K +1.10%G +0.121%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.71%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +10.99%E +0.999%K +1.10%G +0.121%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.55%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -3.97%E -0.763%K -0.945%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +10.99%E +0.999%K +1.10%G +0.121%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 16:36
Betr (AU)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +5.94%E +0.566%K +0.625%G +0.037%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.26%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.61%EV +5.94%E +0.566%K +0.625%G +0.037%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.35%EV -10.70%E -8.56%K -42.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -12.28%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 16:45
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -0.276%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -0.276%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -0.276%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -0.276%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -0.276%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.26%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -0.276%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:40
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 16:35
FanDuel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.28%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.52%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:52
Bet Right🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -9.51%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:25
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV +0.896%E +0.090%K +0.100%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -15.05%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Pinnacle🎯9.77I 10.24%NM 9.84%EV -1.42%E -0.146%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.77%EV -4.27%E -3.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.39%EV -3.42%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 16:50
NordicBet🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.49%EV -2.13%E -0.220%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.28%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -15.97%E -3.51%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 16:45
Betsson🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.48%EV -2.13%E -0.220%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -20.59%E -4.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:55
GTbets🎯9.66I 10.35%NM 9.50%EV -2.53%E -0.262%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.26%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.24%EV -7.11%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Coral🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -3.05%E -0.580%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.12%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:36
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -16.90%E -3.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:35
betano_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.05%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -12.28%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:50
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -15.05%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 16:54
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.48%EV -9.98%E -7.92%K -38.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.48%EV -9.98%E -7.92%K -38.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.79%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -9.51%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -10.70%E -8.56%K -42.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.64%EV -10.70%E -8.56%K -42.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -4.15%E -0.437%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.95%EV -9.98%E -7.92%K -38.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.51%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.02%EV -6.17%E -0.663%K -0.743%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.07%EV -6.67%E -0.721%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -5.70%E -4.31%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.36%E -2.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:55
Neds🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.07%EV -6.67%E -0.721%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -5.70%E -4.31%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.36%E -2.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:55
Bovada🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:49
Fanatics🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -6.41%E -4.89%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -3.05%E -0.580%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:40
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -5.70%E -4.31%K -17.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:36
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:50
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:50
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.16%EV -11.41%E -9.20%K -47.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.16%EV -11.41%E -9.20%K -47.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -9.19%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.16%EV -11.41%E -9.20%K -47.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 16:40
BetUS🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.66%EV -11.21%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:55
BetMGM🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.82%EV -11.72%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.16%EV -4.98%E -3.74%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.05%E -0.580%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.37%EV -11.72%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.47%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.30%EV -11.72%E -1.34%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -11.36%E -2.37%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.94%EV -13.23%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.23%EV -4.27%E -3.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.94%EV -13.23%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.23%EV -4.27%E -3.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.66%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 16:45
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -14.24%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.12%E -5.48%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -12.28%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -14.24%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -9.27%E -7.30%K -34.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -9.51%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:36
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -19.28%E -2.41%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -7.84%E -6.08%K -27.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -5.82%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.58%EV -21.81%E -2.81%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.11%EV -8.55%E -6.68%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -9.51%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.27%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-29 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-29 16:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.02%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%0.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.93%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88%1.7%2026-08-29 16:55
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.46%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.68%1.7%2026-08-29 16:55