Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 38.01%2.63fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.10%38.00%38.08%39.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.5544.44%41.69%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%33.23%33.27%34.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.752.9338.46%36.08%36.36%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV -5.35%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.48%28.77%28.65%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.3033.33%31.39%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 38.01%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 33.31%; Draw: 28.68%. For Wisła Płock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.93, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.93%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -2.40%E -0.820%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.19%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 12:28 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -3.46%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.10%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.22%EV -7.73%E -2.79%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 11:57 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.52%EV -10.51%E -3.37%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.06%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.40%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.06%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 12:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.06%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.06%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -10.06%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.06%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31%EV -10.68%E -4.55%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -12.73%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -11.82%E -5.10%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.73%E -2.40%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.58%E -5.47%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.34%E -5.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.34%E -5.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.34%E -5.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -13.34%E -5.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -8.40%E -3.05%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-17 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.70%EV -13.72%E -6.05%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.15%EV -10.51%E -3.37%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-20 12:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -14.48%E -6.44%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |