A Escola das Odds

Zagłębie Lubin v Wisła Płock

Início: 2026-03-02 18:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Previsão 38.21%2.62odd justa
EV -4.48%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -2.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.05%38.15%38.22%39.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.402.402.5046.51%41.68%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wisła Płock (Visitante)

Previsão 31.73%3.15odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.323%
Kelly -0.475%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.43%31.80%31.71%33.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.682.862.853.1237.31%34.91%35.09%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.06%3.33odd justa
EV -0.786%
Vantagem -0.238%
Kelly -0.342%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.44%30.05%30.07%31.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.063.103.3037.04%32.63%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -0.786%E -0.238%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 17:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:00
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 17:59
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -2.28%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.91%EV -3.19%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 17:59
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.28%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 17:59
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.28%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 17:59
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 17:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 17:59
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 17:59
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 18:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 17:59
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.16%E -2.95%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 17:59
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -7.54%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.31%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-02 17:59
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.54%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.35%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 17:59
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.54%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 18:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 17:58
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-02 17:59
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 17:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-02 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 17:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-02 17:59
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -8.69%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 17:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.323%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 17:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-02 17:59
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 38.94%EV -9.45%E -3.99%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 17:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.45%E -3.99%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-02 17:59
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.21%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-02 17:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -10.21%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.43%EV -14.97%E -5.58%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-02 18:00
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -10.21%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-02 17:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-02 17:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-02 17:59
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-02 18:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-02 17:59
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-02 17:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-02 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-02 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -17.32%E -6.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-02 17:59
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.53%EV -15.18%E -6.84%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.45%EV -13.70%E -5.04%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.02%EV -14.31%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-02 17:59
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.57%EV -17.86%E -8.31%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.71%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.71%EV -18.82%E -6.97%K -11.07%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-02 17:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-02 18:00
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-02 17:59
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%2.5%2026-03-02 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30%3.2%2026-03-02 18:00