La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zagłębie Lubin v Wisła Płock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Predicción 38.21%2.62momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.05%38.15%38.22%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.402.402.5046.51%41.68%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wisła Płock (Visitante)
Predicción 31.73%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.323%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.43%31.80%31.71%33.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.682.862.853.1237.31%34.91%35.09%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -0.786%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.44%30.05%30.07%31.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.103.3037.04%32.63%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -0.786%E -0.238%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -4.48%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -2.28%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.91%EV -3.19%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.28%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.09%EV -2.28%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.30%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.80%EV -5.25%E -2.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.39%E -2.61%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.16%E -2.95%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -7.54%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.31%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -7.54%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.35%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.54%E -3.12%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 17:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.57%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.30%E -3.46%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| BetUS | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -8.69%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.323%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.79%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.81%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -9.07%E -3.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Bovada | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.94%EV -9.45%E -3.99%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.40%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.45%E -3.99%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.21%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -10.21%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.43%EV -14.97%E -5.58%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -5.30%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -10.21%E -4.35%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -8.62%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -9.81%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.12%E -5.27%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.75%E -4.64%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -17.32%E -6.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.53%EV -15.18%E -6.84%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.45%EV -13.70%E -5.04%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.02%EV -14.31%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.57%EV -17.86%E -8.31%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.71%EV -14.33%E -5.31%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.71%EV -18.82%E -6.97%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 17:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49% | 2.5% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.30% | 3.2% | 2026-03-02 18:00 |