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Zagłębie Lubin v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV +0.836%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.71%36.75%36.78%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.512.502.7445.45%39.83%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.42%35.92%35.92%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.552.7241.67%39.53%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%27.34%27.30%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.93%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 36.80%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 35.92%; Draw: 27.28%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.836%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV +0.836%E +0.305%K +0.481%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -10.91%E -4.40%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.94%EV -3.71%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.61%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.40%EV -2.29%E -0.843%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-18 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.21%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.81%E -0.501%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-18 05:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -5.79%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -5.79%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -5.79%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.81%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-18 12:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.53%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -6.89%E -2.72%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.43%EV -6.24%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 12:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -7.26%E -2.88%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.49%EV -7.26%E -2.88%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.06%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 12:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 12:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 12:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 12:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 12:37 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -10.91%E -4.40%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.97%EV -8.36%E -3.36%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.92%EV -6.72%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 12:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.86%EV -8.73%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -8.73%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.71%E -5.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -8.73%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.71%E -5.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -8.73%E -3.52%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.71%E -5.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 12:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 07:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -9.84%E -4.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -12.71%E -5.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.60%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-18 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.26%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -12.41%E -5.22%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.99%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.92%EV -12.78%E -5.39%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.16%EV -13.07%E -5.40%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.58%EV -14.25%E -6.12%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -10.91%E -4.40%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.11%EV -11.90%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -19.04%E -8.65%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-18 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 12:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.90% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-10-18 12:39 |