The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Wisła Płock v Radomiak Radom

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 17:00 UTC

Final: Wisła Płock 1–0 Radomiak Radom

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Płock (Local)

Prediction 50.66%1.97fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -4.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.20%50.78%50.67%54.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.811.8959.88%55.07%55.25%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visit)

Prediction 24.30%4.12fair odd
EV -0.365%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.118%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%24.28%24.31%25.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.754.1029.41%26.75%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV +0.173%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.058%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.94%25.02%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.643.704.0028.99%27.44%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Płock (Local): 50.66%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 24.30%; Draw: 25.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.173%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.173%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.81%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.19%EV -3.52%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.01%EV -3.83%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 16:55
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.81%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.19%EV -3.52%E -0.888%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.01%EV -3.83%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -5.23%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-19 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.80%E -0.699%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 16:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 16:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.15%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -0.365%E -0.089%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-19 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.80%E -0.699%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -17.38%E -5.11%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-19 13:30
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -8.31%E -4.59%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 23.93%EV -5.95%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -6.84%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-19 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.42%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.84%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.74%EV -6.84%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-19 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 16:35
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:15
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:15
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:16
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.23%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 16:35
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-19 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.23%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-19 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-19 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-19 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-19 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 16:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.09%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-19 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-19 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -9.83%E -5.52%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-19 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 16:35
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -6.44%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.24%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 16:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -13.73%E -3.87%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-19 16:16
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.66%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.35%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.87%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-19 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 16:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.95%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.69%EV -15.41%E -9.22%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -11.30%E -3.10%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-19 16:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -11.86%E -6.82%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.20%EV -11.79%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.32%EV -13.10%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-19 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.45%EV -12.37%E -7.15%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -12.52%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-19 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-10-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-10-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-10-19 16:55
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-10-19 16:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-10-19 16:30
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-10-19 16:45