The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Wisła Płock v Piast Gliwice

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 11:15 UTC

Final: Wisła Płock 2–2 Piast Gliwice

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Płock (Local)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%44.12%43.96%45.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.062.082.1953.19%48.44%48.08%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Piast Gliwice (Visit)

Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.45%29.40%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.103.3234.72%32.05%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -0.252%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%26.43%26.64%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.7530.77%28.92%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Płock (Local): 44.02%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 29.38%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.252%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.03%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.04%EV -2.47%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.93%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 11:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 10:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 10:24
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -6.67%E -3.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -7.47%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -0.252%E -0.067%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 10:40
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.66%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -7.47%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.06%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 11:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 10:52
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 11:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 10:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 10:24
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 10:25
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.53%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 10:55
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 11:10
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.47%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 10:55
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.00%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.87%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 10:25
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -8.35%E -2.68%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 11:09
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -8.35%E -2.68%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 11:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -7.47%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 11:04
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 10:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 10:40
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.87%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.34%EV -10.63%E -5.24%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.95%EV -6.58%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.71%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -7.47%E -2.37%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.23%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 10:55
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.42%EV -12.46%E -4.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.73%EV -12.75%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 10:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -15.40%E -5.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.81%E -5.11%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -12.83%E -6.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.40%E -3.41%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-31 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -13.27%E -6.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -13.27%E -6.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -13.27%E -6.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.71%E -7.00%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-31 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.71%E -7.00%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -8.93%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-31 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.13%EV -17.23%E -9.17%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -13.34%E -4.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-31 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-10-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-10-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-10-31 11:05
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-10-31 11:05
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-10-31 10:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-10-31 11:10