A Escola das Odds

Wisła Płock v Motor Lublin

Início: 2026-05-10 12:47 UTC

Final: Wisła Płock 0–4 Motor Lublin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Wisła Płock (Local)

Previsão 40.48%2.47odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.91%40.49%40.48%41.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.262.272.4048.78%44.25%44.05%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Motor Lublin (Visitante)

Previsão 32.90%3.04odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -0.996%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.64%32.91%32.87%34.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.69%35.71%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.61%3.76odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.413%
Kelly -0.566%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.36%26.59%26.65%28.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.433.453.7033.33%29.19%28.99%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -2.84%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 12:43
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.26%EV -3.25%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -2.33%E -0.634%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 12:44
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.92%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:44
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -4.46%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -5.90%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -4.46%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -5.90%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:45
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -6.08%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -8.53%E -3.07%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 12:44
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84%EV -6.48%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.10%EV -8.53%E -3.07%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 12:44
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:44
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:44
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 12:43
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 12:44
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -7.54%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.92%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 12:44
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 12:43
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 12:44
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 12:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 12:44
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:44
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:45
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 12:44
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.21%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 12:44
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.21%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 12:44
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.61%EV -8.51%E -3.76%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 12:45
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -1.53%E -0.413%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 12:45
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 12:45
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 12:41
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 12:44
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 12:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 12:44
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 12:44
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 12:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 12:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 12:45
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 12:44
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 12:44
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 12:44
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.50%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-10 12:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.50%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -13.47%E -5.12%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.16%E -6.72%K -10.08%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-10 12:44
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.84%E -3.24%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 12:44
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-10 12:44
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 12:44
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.67%EV -17.01%E -8.30%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -14.83%E -4.64%K -6.74%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-10 12:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-10 12:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-05-10 12:44
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-05-10 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-05-10 12:44
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.7%2026-05-10 12:44