La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wisła Płock v Motor Lublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wisła Płock (Local)
Predicción 40.48%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.91%40.49%40.48%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.272.4048.78%44.25%44.05%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motor Lublin (Visitante)
Predicción 32.90%3.04momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.996%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.64%32.91%32.87%34.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.802.9540.00%35.69%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.61%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.413%
Kelly -0.566%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.36%26.59%26.65%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.7033.33%29.19%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -2.84%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 12:43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.26%EV -3.25%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -5.57%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -2.33%E -0.634%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.97%EV -3.65%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.92%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.11%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -4.46%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -5.90%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.85%EV -4.46%E -1.89%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.89%EV -5.90%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| BetUS | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -6.08%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -8.53%E -3.07%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84%EV -6.48%E -2.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.10%EV -8.53%E -3.07%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 12:43 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -7.54%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.92%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 12:43 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.21%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -7.21%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.61%EV -8.51%E -3.76%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -1.53%E -0.413%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 12:41 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.23%E -2.18%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.50%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.50%E -4.16%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -13.47%E -5.12%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.16%E -6.72%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.84%E -3.24%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.67%EV -17.01%E -8.30%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -14.83%E -4.64%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 12:44 |