Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Płock v Cracovia Kraków

Início: 2026-09-13 10:15 UTC

Final: Wisła Płock 3–1 Cracovia Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Płock (Local)

Previsão 34.22%2.92odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.623%
Kelly -0.956%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.86%34.34%34.27%36.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.622.622.8741.67%38.11%38.17%34.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 37.52%2.67odd justa
EV +1.30%
Vantagem +0.482%
Kelly +0.766%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.38%37.34%37.52%38.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.492.472.7043.48%40.14%40.49%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.26%3.54odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.311%
Kelly -0.435%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%28.32%28.20%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.253.5033.33%31.04%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wisła Płock (Local): 34.22%; Cracovia Kraków (Visitante): 37.52%; Empate: 28.26%. Para Cracovia Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.67. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 09:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 09:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV +1.30%E +0.482%K +0.766%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -16.16%E -6.60%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -1.32%E -0.504%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 09:31
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -16.85%E -6.93%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.45%E -0.942%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 09:35
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.22%E -5.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -17.87%E -7.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 09:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -17.87%E -7.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 09:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -17.87%E -7.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 09:31
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -17.87%E -7.45%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 09:31
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.57%EV -1.79%E -0.623%K -0.956%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.93%EV -4.70%E -1.85%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.50%EV -4.48%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 10:01
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 09:40
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 09:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 09:41
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -2.81%E -0.991%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.95%E -2.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 10:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -2.81%E -0.991%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.95%E -2.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 10:01
BetUS🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.12%EV -2.81%E -0.991%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.95%E -2.80%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 10:01
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.15%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 09:46
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.93%EV -6.58%E -2.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.93%EV -6.58%E -2.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 10:01
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -4.18%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:01
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 09:41
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:00
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 09:46
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 09:44
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 09:56
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 09:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.74%EV -8.45%E -3.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:00
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 10:10
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 10:10
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 09:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -10.00%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 10:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -10.00%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 10:01
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 09:41
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.08%E -4.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -10.34%E -3.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -11.08%E -4.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 09:40
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -5.89%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.83%E -5.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.98%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.37%EV -12.74%E -5.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.62%EV -12.58%E -5.40%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.00%EV -11.54%E -3.69%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 09:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.05%EV -12.05%E -4.69%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.72%EV -12.96%E -5.58%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -13.71%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 09:46
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.45%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.71%E -5.96%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.99%2.78I 35.97%NM 36.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-09-13 10:11
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.20%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53%0.1%2026-09-13 10:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-13 09:51