Language:English
Wieczysta Kraków v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wieczysta Kraków (Local)
Prediction 43.37%2.31fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.23%43.41%43.31%44.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.092.102.2051.28%47.88%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.703%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%30.28%30.32%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.2535.71%32.95%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.35%3.80fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.436%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.32%26.37%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.7530.77%28.84%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 43.37%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 30.28%; Draw: 26.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 10:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.87%EV -6.32%E -2.93%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 16:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -12.79%E -4.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.75%E -3.14%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-29 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -8.05%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.79%EV -8.49%E -4.02%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -1.58%E -0.487%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.17%EV -7.03%E -2.29%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-30 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 20:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-04 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-29 16:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.67%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.92%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -9.79%E -4.71%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -7.64%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.34%EV -11.57%E -3.96%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -13.69%E -4.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -11.09%E -5.41%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -15.21%E -5.43%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-29 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -12.39%E -6.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.12%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-02 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.39%E -6.13%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.57%E -3.96%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -13.26%E -6.63%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.64%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -13.26%E -6.63%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -12.79%E -4.44%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.06%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-02 06:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.81%EV -14.13%E -7.13%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.81%EV -14.13%E -7.13%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -14.56%E -7.39%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -7.64%E -2.50%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.42%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.78%EV -15.43%E -7.91%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.95%EV -13.69%E -4.81%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-03 16:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.87% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.95% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.18% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89% | 16.2% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |