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Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa

2026-10-16 16:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.94%39.40%39.41%40.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.312.342.4047.62%43.22%42.74%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Raków Częstochowa (Visit)

Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.11%35.10%35.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7040.82%38.55%38.39%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.48%3.92fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.663%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%25.49%25.49%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.603.603.8529.85%27.78%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 39.39%; Raków Częstochowa (Visit): 35.13%; Draw: 25.48%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -1.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -1.89%E -0.491%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -6.25%E -2.63%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.44%E -3.16%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.51%EV -8.22%E -3.53%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.27%EV -8.32%E -3.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.99%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.44%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -10.19%E -4.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -12.16%E -5.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 13:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -13.34%E -6.07%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -13.94%E -5.69%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -10.81%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.44%EV -13.34%E -6.07%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.41%EV -13.94%E -5.69%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.15%EV -12.08%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.54%EV -17.28%E -8.23%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.05%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.41%EV -14.63%E -4.37%K -6.23%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-10 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%16.4%2026-10-10 14:01