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Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wieczysta Kraków (Local)
Prediction 48.47%2.06fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.63%48.56%48.39%50.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.901.902.0157.47%52.73%52.63%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raków Częstochowa (Visit)
Prediction 26.61%3.76fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%26.56%26.65%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.7032.26%29.39%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV -0.310%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%24.88%24.96%25.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.473.673.704.0028.82%27.28%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 48.47%; Raków Częstochowa (Visit): 26.61%; Draw: 24.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.310%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.86%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.05%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-16 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.32%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.310%E -0.078%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-16 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-16 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.46%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-16 15:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.46%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-16 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -6.46%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -14.84%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.94%E -3.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.94%E -3.62%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-16 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-16 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-16 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.63%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -16.17%E -5.13%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.91%E -4.17%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -2.87%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.91%E -4.17%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -2.87%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.91%E -4.17%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -2.87%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-16 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -7.91%E -4.17%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -13.51%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-16 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.02%EV -8.40%E -4.44%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -8.40%E -4.44%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -16.17%E -5.13%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.73%EV -8.40%E -4.44%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -16.17%E -5.13%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -8.88%E -4.73%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-16 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.88%E -4.73%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-16 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -8.88%E -4.73%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.17%E -5.13%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -8.88%E -4.73%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -16.17%E -5.13%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-16 15:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -9.37%E -5.01%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-16 15:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.25%EV -9.37%E -5.01%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.77%EV -8.46%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.98%EV -4.30%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-16 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.37%E -5.01%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.37%E -5.01%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.37%E -5.01%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.37%E -5.01%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.23%EV -9.85%E -5.30%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-16 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-16 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-16 15:52 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.51%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.79%E -6.48%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -11.65%E -3.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-16 15:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.76%E -7.09%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.76%E -7.09%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-16 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.59%EV -15.67%E -9.00%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-16 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-10-16 15:55 |