The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Wieczysta Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 13:45 UTC

Final: Wieczysta Kraków 1–3 Jagiellonia Białystok

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Prediction 40.36%2.48fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.31%40.34%40.44%41.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.252.3648.78%44.22%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)

Prediction 34.49%2.90fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.40%34.54%34.49%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.652.8141.67%37.62%37.74%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.488%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%25.13%25.08%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.653.9029.41%27.68%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 40.36%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 34.49%; Draw: 25.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.90%EV -4.75%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.90%E -0.488%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.16%E -0.821%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 12:44
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.45%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.35%EV -5.51%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.56%E -2.37%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.35%EV -5.51%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.40%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.49%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 13:30
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.40%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.49%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.64%EV -6.77%E -2.93%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 13:35
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.16%E -0.821%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -15.51%E -6.33%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.71%EV -7.98%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -9.30%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 10:40
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.72%EV -8.78%E -3.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.72%EV -8.78%E -3.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 13:30
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -3.44%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.68%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 13:35
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.68%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 13:26
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.65%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.61%E -3.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.45%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:30
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 12:45
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.02%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.31%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -8.19%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.19%E -4.08%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.45%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -10.00%E -4.48%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.25%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -10.00%E -4.48%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.25%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -10.00%E -4.48%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.25%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -10.00%E -4.48%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.25%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 10:40
Bovada🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.59%EV -10.40%E -4.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.45%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 13:38
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.59%EV -10.40%E -4.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.45%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.61%EV -10.40%E -4.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.90%EV -13.09%E -5.20%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.16%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.93%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.45%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.45%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -6.89%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.71%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 13:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.21%E -5.09%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.34%E -3.98%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -12.01%E -5.51%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.15%EV -11.37%E -4.42%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -13.73%E -4.00%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.22%E -6.15%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -13.78%E -5.51%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%EV -13.22%E -3.83%K -5.40%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-31 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -15.24%E -7.26%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.59%EV -17.23%E -7.18%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -9.45%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.55%EV -17.26%E -8.42%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.40%EV -12.06%E -4.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.48%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-31 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.29%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-10-31 13:40
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-10-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-10-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-10-31 13:35
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-10-31 13:30

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