L’École des cotes

Widzew Łódź v Motor Lublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 51.74%1.93cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -5.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.95%51.83%51.80%54.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.781.8560.61%56.32%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Motor Lublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.56%4.43cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.213%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%22.42%22.53%23.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.064.104.4027.03%24.63%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -0.967%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.89%25.75%25.66%27.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.513.503.7531.25%28.52%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:44
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 10:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:50
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:30
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:29
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:30
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 05:05
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 10:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 09:37
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 14:55
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:44
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:04
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 19:44
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 09:34
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -7.39%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -7.39%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 10:30
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 53.07%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.67%EV -1.63%E -0.373%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.26%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 15:05
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 14:54
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 14:49
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 14:54
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.74%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 10:29
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.95%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.72%EV -3.21%E -0.748%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:54
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.88%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 14:54
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 50.64%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 02:00
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -4.11%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:13
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -4.11%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 14:22
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:33
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 09:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 09:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 12:55
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.02%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-20 10:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-21 12:45
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-21 12:50
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -9.98%E -5.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -2.98%E -0.693%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -9.98%E -5.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 19:54
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.96%EV -10.49%E -6.07%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -10.88%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-20 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.95%EV -10.49%E -6.07%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -17.76%E -5.55%K -8.07%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -12.05%E -7.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -0.725%E -0.165%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 09:19
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -12.05%E -7.09%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 14:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.46%EV -12.56%E -7.43%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.33%EV -13.08%E -7.79%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -16.52%E -4.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 19:54
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.60%E -8.14%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.84%EV -14.42%E -4.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 14:53
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 51.85%EV -14.63%E -8.87%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%9.2%2026-04-24 00:35
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%11.4%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 43.14%2.04I 49.02%NM 35.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 21.13%37.2%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 43.14%2.04I 49.02%NM 35.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 21.13%37.2%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 43.28%2.04I 49.02%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 21.08%37.5%2026-04-23 22:10