La escuela de los momiosWidzew Łódź v Motor Lublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Predicción 51.74%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -5.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.95%51.83%51.80%54.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.781.781.8560.61%56.32%56.18%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motor Lublin (Visitante)
Predicción 22.56%4.43momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.165%
Kelly -0.213%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.93%22.42%22.53%23.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.064.104.4027.03%24.63%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -0.967%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.89%25.75%25.66%27.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.503.7531.25%28.52%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.63%E -0.967%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.29%E -2.32%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 12:50 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.32%E -2.91%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 05:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 09:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.24%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -7.39%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -7.39%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.07%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.67%EV -1.63%E -0.373%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.26%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:05 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.85%EV -7.91%E -4.44%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.74%EV -8.42%E -4.76%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.95%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.72%EV -3.21%E -0.748%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.88%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.64%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -4.11%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 15:13 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -4.11%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 14:22 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.49%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:33 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 09:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.02%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -9.75%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 12:45 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.46%E -5.41%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-21 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -9.98%E -5.73%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -2.98%E -0.693%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -5.42%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -9.98%E -5.73%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.96%EV -10.49%E -6.07%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -10.88%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.95%EV -10.49%E -6.07%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -15.39%E -4.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -17.76%E -5.55%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -12.05%E -7.09%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -0.725%E -0.165%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -4.91%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 09:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -12.05%E -7.09%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.46%EV -12.56%E -7.43%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.33%EV -13.08%E -7.79%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -16.52%E -4.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -12.62%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 19:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.60%E -8.14%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -14.26%E -3.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 25.84%EV -14.42%E -4.33%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 14:53 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.85%EV -14.63%E -8.87%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -13.13%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 43.14% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 35.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.13% | 37.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 43.14% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 35.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.13% | 37.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 43.28% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 35.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.08% | 37.5% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |