La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Widzew Łódź v Lechia Gdańsk
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Widzew Łódź (Casa)
Previsione 43.57%2.30quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -3.85%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.86%43.74%43.55%47.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.062.102.1954.05%48.62%47.62%45.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lechia Gdańsk (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.36%3.53quota equa
EV +3.52%
Vantaggio +0.965%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.047%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.67%28.18%28.44%29.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.333.303.6534.72%30.06%30.30%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.07%3.56quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.503%
Kelly -0.704%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.60%28.08%28.01%29.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:14 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 12:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV +0.686%E +0.193%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -16.35%E -8.51%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV +0.686%E +0.193%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -16.35%E -8.51%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV +0.686%E +0.193%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.25%EV +0.119%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.732%E -0.209%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 12:37 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -17.22%E -9.06%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -0.732%E -0.209%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -18.09%E -9.62%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -19.40%E -10.49%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 12:22 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| BetUS | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.07%E -3.82%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -5.27%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -7.93%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Bovada | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -8.07%E -3.82%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 12:33 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -15.79%E -5.26%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 12:24 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -15.79%E -5.26%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 12:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 12:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 12:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -11.56%E -5.69%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.84%EV -10.74%E -3.38%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 12:22 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -14.60%E -7.45%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -11.58%E -3.68%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-09 12:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.63%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -14.39%E -4.72%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-09 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.32%E -6.36%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -19.16%E -6.65%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 12:39 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 12:29 |