مدرسة الاحتمالات

Widzew Łódź v Lechia Gdańsk

البداية: 2026-05-09 12:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Widzew Łódź 3–1 Lechia Gdańsk

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Widzew Łódź (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.57%2.30السعر العادل
EV -4.58%
الأفضلية -2.09%
Kelly -3.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.86%43.74%43.55%47.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.062.102.1954.05%48.62%47.62%45.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lechia Gdańsk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.36%3.53السعر العادل
EV +3.52%
الأفضلية +0.965%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.047%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.67%28.18%28.44%29.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.333.303.6534.72%30.06%30.30%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.07%3.56السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.503%
Kelly -0.704%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.60%28.08%28.01%29.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:04
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:04
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV +3.52%E +0.965%K +1.33%G +0.047%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:14
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:05
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:04
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:04
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:14
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -15.04%E -7.71%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV +2.10%E +0.585%K +0.809%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 12:15
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -15.91%E -8.24%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV +0.686%E +0.193%K +0.269%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.16%E -0.917%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -16.35%E -8.51%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV +0.686%E +0.193%K +0.269%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -16.35%E -8.51%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV +0.686%E +0.193%K +0.269%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:04
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.25%EV +0.119%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 12:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.732%E -0.209%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:37
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.39%EV -17.22%E -9.06%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -0.732%E -0.209%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:04
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -18.09%E -9.62%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -2.15%E -0.623%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 12:04
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -1.76%E -0.503%K -0.704%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 12:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 12:39
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -19.40%E -10.49%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 16:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:39
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 12:22
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:29
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:29
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:29
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.96%EV -8.07%E -3.82%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -5.27%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -7.93%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:39
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -8.07%E -3.82%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:33
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -15.79%E -5.26%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 12:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 12:04
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 12:24
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 12:24
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 12:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.99%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 12:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -15.79%E -5.26%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 12:39
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 12:04
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 12:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 12:14
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 12:04
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 12:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 12:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.57%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 12:29
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.23%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 12:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 12:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -5.97%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 12:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:14
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 12:29
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -11.56%E -5.69%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.84%EV -10.74%E -3.38%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 12:22
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.15%EV -14.60%E -7.45%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -11.58%E -3.68%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-09 12:24
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 43.63%EV -14.17%E -7.19%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -14.39%E -4.72%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-09 12:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.18%E -3.18%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 12:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -8.78%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-09 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -12.86%E -6.43%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.32%E -6.36%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -19.16%E -6.65%K -10.19%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-09 12:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 44.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-05-09 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-09 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-09 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-09 12:39
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-09 12:39
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-05-09 12:29