L’École des cotes

Widzew Łódź v Górnik Zabrze

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 16:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prévision 41.24%2.42cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.428%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.69%41.31%41.13%43.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.232.4050.00%45.18%44.84%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV +0.480%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.197%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.89%29.17%29.24%30.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.4435.71%32.33%32.26%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.55%3.38cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.426%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.74%29.53%29.63%31.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.3535.71%32.49%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV +0.480%E +0.139%K +0.197%G +0.001%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 16:29
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -2.44%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:29
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.23%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:29
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.23%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:29
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:29
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -10.16%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:29
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:30
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:30
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:29
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -1.00%E -0.299%K -0.426%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:29
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:29
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:29
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 16:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:19
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:29
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:29
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:29
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 16:29
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -16.70%E -8.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 16:29
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:30
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 16:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:29
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.65%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-22 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.88%E -5.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -17.25%E -6.16%K -9.59%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-22 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.15%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.08%EV -16.17%E -5.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.77%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 16:30
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.60%EV -17.52%E -8.76%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -18.21%E -6.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.69%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-03-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-03-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%1.8%2026-03-22 16:30
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05%3.0%2026-03-22 16:29
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%4.6%2026-03-22 16:30