La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Widzew Łódź v Górnik Zabrze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Widzew Łódź (Local)
Predicción 41.24%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.69%41.31%41.13%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.232.4050.00%45.18%44.84%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)
Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV +0.480%
Ventaja +0.139%
Kelly +0.197%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%29.17%29.24%30.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.4435.71%32.33%32.26%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.426%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.74%29.53%29.63%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3535.71%32.49%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.33%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV +0.480%E +0.139%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.67%EV -7.21%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.45%EV -2.44%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.23%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.23%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -10.16%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -3.96%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -1.00%E -0.299%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -2.48%E -0.751%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 16:19 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -6.91%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.41%EV -16.70%E -8.27%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -10.10%E -4.63%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.65%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.87%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.88%E -5.51%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -17.25%E -6.16%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.15%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.08%EV -16.17%E -5.63%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.77%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.60%EV -17.52%E -8.76%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -18.21%E -6.51%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.69%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.05% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |