The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Widzew Łódź v Górnik Zabrze

2026-10-23 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prediction 37.67%2.65fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.06%37.68%37.67%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.452.5545.45%41.54%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visit)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%34.98%34.97%35.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.622.7040.82%38.41%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%27.34%27.36%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.5032.26%30.10%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Widzew Łódź (Local): 37.67%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 34.93%; Draw: 27.40%. For Widzew Łódź (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -3.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:40
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -6.58%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -8.12%E -3.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 19:35
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 18:42
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-16 19:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 18:35
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-16 18:40
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -8.47%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -8.12%E -3.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.90%EV -8.47%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.02%EV -8.12%E -3.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 19:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -8.12%E -3.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 18:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -11.48%E -4.89%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.85%EV -12.23%E -5.25%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-16 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.85%EV -12.23%E -5.25%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-16 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.85%EV -12.23%E -5.25%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-16 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.85%EV -12.23%E -5.25%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-16 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-16 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-16 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -14.41%E -5.88%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-16 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -15.25%E -6.78%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -14.41%E -5.88%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.82%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-16 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -17.13%E -7.79%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.13%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-16 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%16.4%2026-10-16 18:50