The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Widzew Łódź v Górnik Zabrze

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:30 UTC

Final: Widzew Łódź 1–1 Górnik Zabrze

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Widzew Łódź (Local)

Prediction 30.33%3.30fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.923%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%30.32%30.38%32.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.50%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visit)

Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.03%42.31%42.15%45.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.67%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%27.37%27.46%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.09%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Widzew Łódź (Local): 30.33%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 42.17%; Draw: 27.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -2.95%E -0.923%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.18%EV -2.65%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -2.95%E -0.923%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 13:46
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -1.00%E -0.279%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 15:40
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 15:40
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.47%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -5.38%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.61%EV -8.90%E -4.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 09:19
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.13%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 15:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 11:01
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 09:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 15:40
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 14:08
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.99%E -1.93%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 14:04
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.50%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 15:46
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.75%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 09:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.56%EV -6.80%E -3.07%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 15:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 11:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 15:40
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:45
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -10.59%E -5.00%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 09:20
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -10.59%E -5.00%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 13:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 15:35
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-23 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.02%E -3.01%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-23 09:20
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:19
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:19
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:19
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.73%E -0.744%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.88%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -10.54%E -3.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-23 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -11.14%E -3.80%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.90%EV -10.17%E -4.77%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%EV -11.18%E -3.46%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-23 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 15:45
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.05%E -4.16%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-23 09:19
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -12.66%E -4.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.66%E -4.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -6.50%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-23 15:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.51%EV -12.96%E -4.52%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.43%E -5.44%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-23 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -13.57%E -4.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.25%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -15.08%E -5.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-23 09:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -15.08%E -5.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.11%EV -5.95%E -2.67%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.00%E -3.75%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -16.60%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-23 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -16.60%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-23 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -16.60%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-23 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -16.60%E -6.04%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.38%E -4.25%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-23 09:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-10-23 15:40
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-23 15:07
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-23 13:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-23 13:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-23 15:46
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-10-23 13:36