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Raków Częstochowa v Zagłębie Lubin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
assuming max odds 1.62
Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.50
Draw
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 57.52%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 18.07%; Draw: 24.41%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -0.633%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.24%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -6.05%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.93%EV -9.19%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 10:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -10.84%E -6.99%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -4.25%E -0.801%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 05:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.84%E -6.99%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -14.18%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.99%E -7.84%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -0.633%E -0.115%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.35%E -0.589%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.99%E -7.84%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 05:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.99%E -7.84%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.99%E -7.84%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -13.28%E -2.77%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 05:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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