The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Raków Częstochowa v Widzew Łódź

2026-11-22 11:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Prediction 46.76%2.14fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.86%46.62%46.76%47.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.941.962.0256.50%51.65%50.89%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visit)

Prediction 28.13%3.55fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%28.13%28.13%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.173.253.3934.48%31.53%30.77%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.68%25.25%25.11%25.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.553.8130.30%27.96%28.17%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 46.76%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 28.13%; Draw: 25.11%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.81, with an expected value of -4.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -5.54%E -2.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -4.63%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.94%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 21:15
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 18:10
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.75%EV -7.41%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.96%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.29%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 18:10
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 21:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.35%E -4.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.16%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.15%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.57%EV -11.15%E -5.87%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.36%EV -12.22%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.07%EV -11.38%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-09 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -11.15%E -5.87%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-09 18:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.86%EV -13.02%E -7.00%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -18.41%E -6.35%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.72%EV -13.39%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-09 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 46.81%EV -17.23%E -9.74%K -22.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.09%EV -17.01%E -5.77%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-09 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.