Language:English
Raków Częstochowa v GKS Katowice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.36%43.74%43.60%45.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.082.1852.36%48.24%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GKS Katowice (Visit)
Prediction 31.54%3.17fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +0.770%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.63%31.43%31.58%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.962.903.2538.46%33.81%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.680%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%24.83%24.81%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.9529.41%27.50%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 43.65%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 31.54%; Draw: 24.81%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 21:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +2.50%E +0.770%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.650%E -0.206%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-02 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -14.01%E -7.11%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.27%EV -14.44%E -7.37%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -2.23%E -0.718%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.65%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -5.28%E -2.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.38%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.96%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.62%EV -5.28%E -2.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.42%EV -7.90%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.00%E -0.508%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.25%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.16%EV -9.21%E -4.43%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-29 22:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.69%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.19%EV -8.53%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.97%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -9.17%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.73%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.83%EV -9.48%E -3.30%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -11.93%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -9.80%E -3.43%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -9.80%E -3.43%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.21%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.70%EV -5.28%E -2.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -9.80%E -3.43%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -7.71%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -10.11%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -4.49%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 14:32 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.83%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.42%EV -10.43%E -3.67%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.75%EV -7.71%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-29 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.20%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -9.45%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.73%EV -16.63%E -8.70%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.51%EV -11.69%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.76%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.97%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.26%EV -11.82%E -5.85%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.78%EV -13.27%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -14.84%E -5.50%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-29 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -18.00%E -6.92%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -10.69%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.20% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 31.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66% | 16.3% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 34.27% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 34.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 31.45% | 74.7% | 2026-10-05 10:46 |