L’École des cotes

Radomiak Radom v Widzew Łódź

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 12:45 UTC

Score final : Radomiak Radom 2–1 Widzew Łódź

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -0.926%
Avantage -0.272%
Kelly -0.384%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%29.25%29.11%32.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.053.103.4137.04%32.79%32.26%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.09%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.664%
Avantage +0.271%
Kelly +0.458%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.19%40.94%41.10%42.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.282.272.4548.78%43.80%44.05%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.86%3.35cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.911%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.86%29.80%29.79%30.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.42%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:01
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:01
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 12:00
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 12:00
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 12:00
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 12:00
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 12:01
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.39%E -0.579%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -18.65%E -6.66%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.21%E -0.929%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -18.65%E -6.66%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.21%E -0.929%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 12:01
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -20.10%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -20.10%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.40%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.21%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:00
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:15
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:39
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:55
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:00
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:00
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -21.55%E -7.98%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 12:01
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -0.926%E -0.272%K -0.384%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.05%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.26%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:35
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 12:20
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 12:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:55
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:54
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.23%EV -7.14%E -3.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -8.63%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 12:39
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.14%E -3.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:24
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:19
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:19
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -7.96%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.04%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:39
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.96%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:40
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.96%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:40
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 12:30
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -9.35%E -3.00%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:29
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:55
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:40
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 12:39
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.26%EV -12.26%E -4.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.65%EV -11.02%E -3.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 12:19
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-18 11:20
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.74%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.40%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 12:39
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -15.77%E -7.69%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.43%EV -12.81%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-18 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.4%2026-04-18 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.4%2026-04-18 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.4%2026-04-18 12:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36%1.4%2026-04-18 12:39
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%2.6%2026-04-18 12:40
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-18 12:05