La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Radomiak Radom v Widzew Łódź
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -0.926%
Ventaja -0.272%
Kelly -0.384%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.25%29.11%32.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.103.4137.04%32.79%32.26%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Widzew Łódź (Visitante)
Predicción 41.09%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.664%
Ventaja +0.271%
Kelly +0.458%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.19%40.94%41.10%42.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.282.272.4548.78%43.80%44.05%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.86%3.35momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.911%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.86%29.80%29.79%30.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.42%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -16.32%E -5.67%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV +0.664%E +0.271%K +0.458%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.28%EV -0.158%E -0.065%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -17.20%E -6.03%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -1.39%E -0.579%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -18.65%E -6.66%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.21%E -0.929%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -18.65%E -6.66%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.21%E -0.929%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.96%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -20.10%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -3.44%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -20.10%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.40%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.21%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.57%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 12:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 11:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -21.55%E -7.98%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -0.926%E -0.272%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.05%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -3.26%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:55 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.32%E -2.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:54 |
| 1xBet | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.23%EV -7.14%E -3.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -8.63%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.49%EV -7.14%E -3.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 12:24 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.93%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -7.55%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -7.96%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.04%E -2.61%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.96%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.09%EV -7.96%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.45%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -9.35%E -3.00%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.95%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.26%EV -12.26%E -4.06%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.65%EV -11.02%E -3.70%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.41%E -4.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-18 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.74%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -11.66%E -5.42%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -10.42%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-18 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -9.93%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.40%E -5.86%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -15.77%E -7.69%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.43%EV -12.81%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.36% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 12:05 |