A Escola das Odds

Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin

Início: 2026-04-06 12:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Previsão 42.27%2.37odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -2.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.82%42.36%42.30%45.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.132.152.2951.81%46.87%46.51%43.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Motor Lublin (Visitante)

Previsão 31.02%3.22odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +0.715%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.27%30.92%31.04%32.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.013.003.3035.71%33.17%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.71%3.74odd justa
EV -3.59%
Vantagem -0.993%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.79%26.71%26.67%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.463.483.6133.33%28.93%28.78%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -12.91%E -6.27%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:30
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -12.91%E -6.27%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:29
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -12.91%E -6.27%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -13.76%E -6.74%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -13.76%E -6.74%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -13.76%E -6.74%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -14.61%E -7.23%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV +0.808%E +0.248%K +0.359%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:30
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 12:30
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -15.45%E -7.73%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -15.45%E -7.73%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -16.72%E -8.49%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -2.29%E -0.728%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 12:30
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -17.99%E -9.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -2.29%E -0.728%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 12:30
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -2.91%E -0.931%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.66%EV -3.59%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 12:35
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.66%EV -18.41%E -9.54%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 12:30
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 12:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 12:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:30
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.42%E -3.39%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 12:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 12:30
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -8.69%E -4.02%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:24
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:30
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.57%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.57%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:29
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 12:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 12:30
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 12:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 12:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 12:34
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -12.07%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.67%EV -11.33%E -3.41%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 12:27
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -10.98%E -3.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 12:35
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 12:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.34%E -6.51%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-06 12:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 12:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 12:30
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.34%E -6.51%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 12:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.34%E -6.51%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.88%E -6.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-04-06 12:35
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-04-06 12:30