La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Predicción 42.27%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%42.36%42.30%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.132.152.2951.81%46.87%46.51%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motor Lublin (Visitante)
Predicción 31.02%3.22momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.715%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%30.92%31.04%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.3035.71%33.17%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.71%26.67%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.483.6133.33%28.93%28.78%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -12.91%E -6.27%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -12.91%E -6.27%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -12.91%E -6.27%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -13.76%E -6.74%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -13.76%E -6.74%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -13.76%E -6.74%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +2.36%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -14.61%E -7.23%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV +0.808%E +0.248%K +0.359%G +0.003% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -15.45%E -7.73%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -15.45%E -7.73%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -0.743%E -0.232%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -16.72%E -8.49%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -2.29%E -0.728%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -17.99%E -9.27%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -2.29%E -0.728%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -2.91%E -0.931%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.66%EV -3.59%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.66%EV -18.41%E -9.54%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -3.85%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.67%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -5.45%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.19%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.42%E -3.39%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Bovada | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.62%EV -8.69%E -4.02%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 12:24 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.95%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.57%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.57%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 12:29 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -8.50%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.05%E -3.47%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.00%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -12.07%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.67%EV -11.33%E -3.41%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-06 12:27 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -10.98%E -3.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.34%E -6.51%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.34%E -6.51%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.53%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.34%E -6.51%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.86%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.88%E -6.63%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 12:30 |