Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom v Cracovia Kraków

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 10:18 UTC

Final: Radomiak Radom 2–1 Cracovia Kraków

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prediction 32.27%3.10fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.20%32.28%32.23%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.832.803.0238.17%35.38%35.65%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cracovia Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 39.50%2.53fair odd
EV +0.714%
Edge +0.280%
Kelly +0.461%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%39.45%39.57%40.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.302.5546.51%42.99%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.24%3.54fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.467%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%28.28%28.20%29.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.5033.33%30.91%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 32.27%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 39.50%; Draw: 28.24%. For Cracovia Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.714%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.27%EV -10.62%E -3.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV +0.714%E +0.280%K +0.461%G +0.003%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -5.97%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:14
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -2.56%E -0.847%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -1.66%E -0.665%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.45%EV -7.66%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.28%EV -2.84%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.28%EV -2.84%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:15
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 10:15
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 10:15
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -5.60%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -11.90%E -3.81%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 09:59
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.40%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:45
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -7.18%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.18%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -9.33%E -3.32%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -7.97%E -3.42%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.66%EV -8.76%E -3.79%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 09:45
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 09:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:00
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:35
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 10:15
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 10:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 10:10
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.97%EV -10.62%E -3.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 10:10
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -9.95%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 09:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 09:45
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 20:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 20:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -12.88%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.13%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.87%E -4.55%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.11%E -5.96%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -14.50%E -5.47%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.11%E -5.96%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-29 10:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.46%E -5.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -15.08%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 10:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 10:15
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.6%2026-08-29 10:06
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%1.9%2026-08-29 10:15
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.1%2026-08-29 10:15