L’École des cotes

Pogoń Szczecin v Widzew Łódź

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 13:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Local)

Prévision 40.80%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.12%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.71%40.86%40.77%41.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.232.252.3548.78%44.83%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.30%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.25%32.25%33.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.883.0037.74%34.83%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.90%3.72cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.499%
Kelly -0.687%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.12%26.89%26.98%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6533.33%29.54%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.98%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -4.71%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.82%E -0.499%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 11:35
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 07:09
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 07:09
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 10:19
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 16:35
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.24%EV -6.65%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -8.01%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 10:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:15
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:15
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.12%EV -8.01%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 11:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:34
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:34
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 01:50
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.59%E -3.03%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:13
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.59%E -3.03%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:15
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:40
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:40
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:49
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 10:16
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 10:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 11:15
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 10:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:13
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 16:34
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 10:21
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 11:40
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 11:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 11:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 11:49
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 11:49
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.71%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 11:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:21
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 10:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-25 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 15:05
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 15:10
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.86%EV -11.05%E -5.07%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.15%EV -10.53%E -3.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 05:09
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.46%E -5.28%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.46%E -5.28%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 11:40
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 11:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 10:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 01:49
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.79%E -4.74%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-27 17:20
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -14.40%E -5.43%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-27 16:34
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -13.50%E -6.37%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-26 11:40
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.06%EV -13.76%E -5.15%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%EV -15.27%E -4.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-28 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -12.79%E -4.74%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -19.31%E -6.44%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.0%2026-02-28 10:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -16.36%E -7.98%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -12.79%E -4.74%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -16.62%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-28 10:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-02-28 11:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-02-28 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-02-28 11:15
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-02-28 12:25
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-02-28 11:35