La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pogoń Szczecin v Widzew Łódź
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Predicción 40.80%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.71%40.86%40.77%41.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.252.3548.78%44.83%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Widzew Łódź (Visitante)
Predicción 32.30%3.10momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%32.25%32.25%33.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.883.0037.74%34.83%34.72%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -0.687%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.12%26.89%26.98%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6533.33%29.54%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.98%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -4.71%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -1.82%E -0.499%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 07:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.61%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 07:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 10:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 16:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.24%EV -6.65%E -2.30%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -8.01%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.12%EV -8.01%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 01:50 |
| Bovada | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.59%E -3.03%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 11:13 |
| BetUS | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.76%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.55%EV -8.59%E -3.03%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 10:16 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 10:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-24 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 10:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 11:13 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 10:21 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 11:49 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.10%E -1.03%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 11:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -4.71%E -1.60%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 10:21 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-25 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 15:05 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.86%EV -11.05%E -5.07%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.15%EV -10.53%E -3.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.46%E -5.28%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.46%E -5.28%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.33%E -2.18%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -6.97%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -9.56%E -3.41%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 10:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.17%E -4.06%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 01:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.79%E -4.74%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -14.40%E -5.43%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.91%EV -13.50%E -6.37%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -7.94%E -2.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.24%E -3.40%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.76%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.06%EV -13.76%E -5.15%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.18%EV -15.27%E -4.85%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-28 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -12.79%E -4.74%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -19.31%E -6.44%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-02-28 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -16.36%E -7.98%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -12.79%E -4.74%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -16.62%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-02-28 10:21 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 11:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 11:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |