The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pogoń Szczecin v Radomiak Radom

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 15:30 UTC

Final: Pogoń Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pogoń Szczecin (Local)

Prediction 57.39%1.74fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.59%57.50%57.35%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.611.601.6767.57%62.30%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visit)

Prediction 19.77%5.06fair odd
EV +4.16%
Edge +0.790%
Kelly +0.975%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 5.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.07%19.77%19.74%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.604.605.2723.81%21.74%21.74%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.538%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.47%22.73%22.91%23.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.964.004.3026.67%25.22%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 57.39%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 19.77%; Draw: 22.84%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.77%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.07%EV +4.16%E +0.790%K +0.975%G +0.041%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.16%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -1.17%E -0.235%K -0.294%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15%EV -1.78%E -0.413%K -0.538%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 15:29
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.81%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV -1.37%E -0.275%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.96%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.25%EV -1.57%E -0.315%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -4.75%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.15%E -0.643%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.78%E -0.413%K -0.538%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 15:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -13.91%E -9.27%K -27.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -3.15%E -0.643%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.06%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.13%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.13%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 15:29
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.00%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -6.12%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.12%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 14:40
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.12%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.88%E -3.58%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.10%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -7.10%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -7.49%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.29%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -7.10%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 14:40
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.29%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -7.10%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 14:40
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 14:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 14:55
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 15:19
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 15:18
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -10.47%E -6.71%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 15:29
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.06%E -0.967%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.34%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 15:01
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 14:44
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -12.19%E -7.97%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -11.06%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.24%EV -15.06%E -10.18%K -31.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.37%EV -12.05%E -2.71%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.39%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-24 15:19
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -7.02%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -11.62%E -7.54%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-24 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.75%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 15:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -14.42%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -14.42%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.05%EV -10.47%E -6.71%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.70%EV -15.01%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.01%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.01%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.01%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.59%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -15.01%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.34%E -3.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -16.99%E -4.04%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-24 15:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-10-24 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-10-24 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-10-24 15:15
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.87%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-10-24 15:25
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-10-24 15:25
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-10-24 15:15

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