Language:English
Pogoń Szczecin v Motor Lublin
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 46.58%2.15fair odd
EV -5.45%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.44%46.58%46.72%47.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.982.0352.36%50.63%50.51%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.90%28.44%28.06%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.273.4033.33%31.10%30.53%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.98%4.00fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%24.98%25.22%25.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.653.8029.41%27.36%27.40%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 46.58%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 28.44%; Draw: 24.98%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -3.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.45%E -2.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.31%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -10.06%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.06%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.06%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.06%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -8.71%E -4.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.56%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-03 18:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.17%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.17%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 19:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.17%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.56%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.06%E -4.43%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-03 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.54% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.23% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.23% | 178.6% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.54% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.23% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.23% | 178.6% | 2026-08-03 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.54% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.23% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.23% | 178.6% | 2026-08-03 18:05 |