Szkoła Kursów

Pogoń Szczecin v Lech Poznań

Początek: 2026-04-18 18:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Pogoń Szczecin 1–2 Lech Poznań

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.00%3.23kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.345%
Kelly -0.503%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.19

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.10%31.02%30.97%32.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.922.883.1937.04%34.30%34.72%31.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lech Poznań (Goście)

Prognoza 43.79%2.28kurs godziwy
EV -2.35%
Przewaga -1.05%
Kelly -1.91%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.00%43.75%43.80%45.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.112.102.2352.36%47.32%47.62%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.21%3.97kurs godziwy
EV -1.94%
Przewaga -0.500%
Kelly -0.673%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.89

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.24%25.23%25.24%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.623.653.8932.26%27.61%27.40%25.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.14%EV -1.10%E -0.345%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.72%EV -1.94%E -0.500%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 17:55
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:25
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:54
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:10
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:01
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 17:55
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:45
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 17:54
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 17:55
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.54%EV -6.68%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.74%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.72%EV -3.20%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:05
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.95%E -0.767%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 18:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:10
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 17:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -11.54%E -5.71%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 18:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 17:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.54%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 07:25
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -9.47%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -9.47%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:50
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.30%E -4.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 17:55
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.36%E -8.57%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.86%E -7.05%K -10.41%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-18 17:55
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 17:35
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 06:20
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 07:24
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 07:24
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 04:05
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.11%EV -11.02%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 17:48
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.68%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:35
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 17:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 05:44
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.97%EV -14.61%E -7.49%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -13.04%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-18 18:10
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -16.29%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 17:35
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -16.29%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 04:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 17:45
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 18:01
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-18 18:01
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%2.7%2026-04-18 18:10