La scuola delle quote

Pogoń Szczecin v Lech Poznań

Inizio: 2026-04-18 18:15 UTC

Finale: Pogoń Szczecin 1–2 Lech Poznań

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Casa)

Previsione 31.00%3.23quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.345%
Kelly -0.503%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.10%31.02%30.97%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.922.883.1937.04%34.30%34.72%31.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lech Poznań (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.79%2.28quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.00%43.75%43.80%45.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.112.102.2352.36%47.32%47.62%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.21%3.97quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.500%
Kelly -0.673%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.24%25.23%25.24%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.623.653.8932.26%27.61%27.40%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.14%EV -1.10%E -0.345%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%EV -6.73%E -3.16%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.72%EV -1.94%E -0.500%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 17:55
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:25
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:54
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:10
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -3.89%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:01
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 17:55
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:45
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 17:54
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.44%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 17:55
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.54%EV -6.68%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.74%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.72%EV -3.20%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:05
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -4.98%E -2.29%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.95%E -0.767%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 18:09
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:10
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 18:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 17:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -11.54%E -5.71%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 18:05
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.99%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 17:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.54%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 07:25
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -9.47%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -9.47%E -3.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -5.85%E -2.72%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 04:05
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:50
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.09%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.30%E -4.20%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 17:55
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.07%EV -2.35%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 17:35
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -10.71%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.36%E -8.57%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.86%E -7.05%K -10.41%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-18 17:55
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.66%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:35
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -4.54%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 17:35
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 06:20
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.64%E -4.08%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.17%EV -5.41%E -2.51%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 07:24
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 07:24
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.30%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 04:05
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -13.19%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.11%EV -11.02%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 17:48
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.68%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -6.29%E -2.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 17:35
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.04%E -3.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 17:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.42%E -6.21%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-18 05:44
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.18%EV -14.74%E -5.36%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.97%EV -14.61%E -7.49%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -13.04%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-18 18:10
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.58%EV -16.29%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.29%EV -8.92%E -4.29%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 17:35
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -16.29%E -6.03%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -10.23%E -4.99%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 04:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 17:45
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-18 18:01
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-18 18:01
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%2.7%2026-04-18 18:10