A Escola das Odds

Piast Gliwice v Zagłębie Lubin

Início: 2026-03-07 16:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Previsão 48.17%2.08odd justa
EV -5.11%
Vantagem -2.60%
Kelly -5.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.90%48.29%48.10%49.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.901.911.9758.14%52.71%52.36%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)

Previsão 23.26%4.30odd justa
EV +3.28%
Vantagem +0.739%
Kelly +0.954%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.37%23.10%23.37%24.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.653.913.904.4427.40%25.57%25.64%22.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.57%3.50odd justa
EV -4.28%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.69%28.62%28.53%29.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.173.203.3535.09%31.53%31.25%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -7.04%E -3.65%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.60%EV +3.28%E +0.739%K +0.954%G +0.031%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.71%EV -4.57%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 16:29
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +2.35%E +0.535%K +0.692%G +0.016%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 16:28
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.35%EV -9.45%E -5.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -1.14%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -8.00%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:29
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 16:28
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -10.41%E -5.60%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 16:29
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 16:29
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -5.60%E -2.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -4.16%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:29
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.08%EV -10.41%E -5.60%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 16:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -13.30%E -7.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 16:29
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -11.86%E -6.48%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:30
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:29
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:30
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:30
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -7.04%E -3.65%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 16:26
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 16:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 16:29
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 16:28
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 16:29
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 16:18
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -17.16%E -9.97%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.57%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.52%EV -18.57%E -6.52%K -10.04%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-07 16:29
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.52%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 16:30
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -7.04%E -3.65%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 16:29
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.03%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.03%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.29%EV -7.52%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 16:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.45%E -5.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -13.30%E -7.39%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 16:29
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 16:29
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 16:28
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 16:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -11.86%E -6.48%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.71%E -6.15%K -9.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-07 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.78%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.70%EV -13.23%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-07 16:20
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 16:29
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 16:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.45%E -5.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 16:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 46.98%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 16:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -15.09%E -4.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 16:29
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.05%EV -14.27%E -8.01%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -15.09%E -4.14%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-07 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-03-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-03-07 16:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31%1.8%2026-03-07 16:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%5.1%2026-03-07 16:30