La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Piast Gliwice v Zagłębie Lubin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Predicción 48.17%2.08momio equitativo
EV -5.11%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -5.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.90%48.29%48.10%49.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.901.911.9758.14%52.71%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)
Predicción 23.26%4.30momio equitativo
EV +3.28%
Ventaja +0.739%
Kelly +0.954%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.37%23.10%23.37%24.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.913.904.4427.40%25.57%25.64%22.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.57%3.50momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%28.62%28.53%29.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.173.203.3535.09%31.53%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -7.04%E -3.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.60%EV +3.28%E +0.739%K +0.954%G +0.031% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.71%EV -4.57%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +2.35%E +0.535%K +0.692%G +0.016% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 16:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.35%EV -9.45%E -5.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -1.14%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -8.00%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 16:28 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -10.41%E -5.60%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -2.30%E -0.548%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -5.60%E -2.85%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -4.16%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.08%EV -10.41%E -5.60%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -13.30%E -7.39%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -11.86%E -6.48%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -8.12%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -7.04%E -3.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 16:26 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 16:28 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 16:18 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -17.16%E -9.97%K -23.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.57%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.52%EV -18.57%E -6.52%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.52%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -7.04%E -3.65%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.44%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.03%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.03%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.29%EV -7.52%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.45%E -5.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -13.30%E -7.39%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -11.60%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.14%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.00%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-07 16:28 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -11.86%E -6.48%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.77%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.71%E -6.15%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.78%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.70%EV -13.23%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-07 16:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.57%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.42%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.45%E -5.03%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.98%EV -9.93%E -5.31%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.89%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -15.09%E -4.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -12.85%E -4.21%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.05%EV -14.27%E -8.01%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -15.09%E -4.14%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51%EV -14.28%E -4.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |