Language:English
Piast Gliwice v Widzew Łódź
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Piast Gliwice (Local)
Prediction 34.74%2.88fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.66%34.86%34.69%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.33%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Widzew Łódź (Visit)
Prediction 37.75%2.65fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%37.59%37.87%39.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.442.452.6046.51%40.92%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -0.992%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.381%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.55%27.44%28.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.09%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 34.74%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 37.75%; Draw: 27.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.992%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -2.72%E -0.970%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -1.84%E -0.708%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.63%EV -7.59%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -3.41%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.86%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -3.41%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -4.86%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 07:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.992%E -0.275%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 04:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 12:28 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.19%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.29%EV -6.54%E -2.43%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.29%EV -6.54%E -2.43%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -5.62%E -2.25%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.74%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 05:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.64%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 04:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.64%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 04:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.64%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 04:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -7.93%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -8.62%E -3.28%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.16%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.47%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.97%E -3.42%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -3.73%E -1.46%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 04:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 05:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 05:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -9.67%E -3.72%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.74%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 12:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.40%E -4.47%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -11.40%E -4.47%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 12:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -11.40%E -4.47%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 04:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -11.40%E -4.47%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -11.28%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 09:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.45%EV -11.40%E -4.47%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.53%EV -13.92%E -6.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 12:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.66%EV -11.40%E -4.47%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.93%EV -18.83%E -8.76%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -1.84%E -0.708%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.98%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -12.41%E -5.35%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-11 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.14%E -5.26%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.17%E -5.72%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -14.74%E -4.76%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -13.83%E -5.58%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -8.26%E -3.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -8.26%E -3.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -8.26%E -3.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -14.88%E -6.07%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -8.26%E -3.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.87% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.89% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.6% | 2026-10-11 12:35 |