The School of Odds
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Piast Gliwice v Korona Kielce

2026-11-20 17:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Piast Gliwice (Local)

Prediction 38.05%2.63fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%37.97%38.07%39.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.422.5047.62%42.03%41.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Korona Kielce (Visit)

Prediction 35.21%2.84fair odd
EV -6.00%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%35.20%35.17%35.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.6741.67%38.95%38.46%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%26.83%26.76%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.59%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Piast Gliwice (Local): 38.05%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 35.21%; Draw: 26.75%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -3.71%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.01%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.59%EV -6.00%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-09 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 15:15
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.78%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 15:24
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -7.54%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -8.46%E -3.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-09 16:22
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.02%EV -7.93%E -3.27%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.46%E -3.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.59%EV -7.46%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-09 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.02%EV -7.93%E -3.27%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.46%E -3.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.59%EV -7.46%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-09 15:14
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.93%E -3.27%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.93%E -3.27%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.76%E -2.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.46%E -3.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-09 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.47%EV -12.49%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.11%EV -11.28%E -4.48%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-09 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.49%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -13.75%E -5.61%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-09 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -14.39%E -6.40%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%EV -15.51%E -6.46%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-09 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.34%EV -20.10%E -9.57%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.43%EV -15.51%E -6.46%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.23%EV -15.75%E -5.00%K -7.32%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-09 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.