Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.51
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Piast Gliwice (Local): 44.50%; GKS Katowice (Visit): 28.79%; Draw: 26.71%. For GKS Katowice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV +1.06%E +0.302%K +0.422%G +0.004% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.24%EV -5.71%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -0.667%E -0.193%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -0.667%E -0.193%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -0.667%E -0.193%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -0.667%E -0.193%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -2.11%E -0.620%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%EV -9.22%E -4.52%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 09:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -12.34%E -6.26%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -12.78%E -6.52%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -13.23%E -6.78%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.99%EV -4.12%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.89%E -3.81%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -4.41%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.18%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%EV -13.67%E -7.05%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +0.164%E +0.044%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -13.19%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -14.56%E -7.59%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 09:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -15.90%E -8.41%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -10.52%E -3.14%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 10:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 08:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -5.22%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.51%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-10 09:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-05 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.23%E -6.78%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-10 09:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.07%EV -13.23%E -6.78%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%EV -15.86%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.52%EV -9.67%E -4.76%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.32%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-10 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.15%EV -12.34%E -6.26%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -16.50%E -5.69%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 07:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.87%E -6.62%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-10 08:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -19.38%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-08 07:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 08:14 |